Bazza
30-04-2006, 10:02 AM
Well I know that they are still a few months away, but I was thinking recently about the Europeans coming up this summer. Obviously it will be the first time we have attended them since 2000 so it's difficult to know what to expect, but it looks like it could be a very high standard. Yet despite this I feel on paper we have quite alot of medal hopes/chances, so I did a little bit of research.
Firstly, I can say that of the last five European chamionships we did attend, an average of 7-8 medals were won, roughly in the ratio of 1 gold : 2 silver : 4 bronze. But looking at the performances our swimmers have produced of late, most notably at the Commonwealth Games, I think we can expect to do a bit better than this!
A quick look at the world rankings for 2005 gives us these placings:
1st:
Mens 1500 Free - David Davies
Womens 800 Free - Rebecca Cooke
Womens 50 Breast - Kate Haywood
2nd:
Mens 100 Free - Simon Burnett
Mens 200 Free - Simon Burnett
Mens 50 Back - Liam Tancock
Womens 200 Free - Mel Marshall
Womens 400 Free - Caitlin McClatchey
Womens 100 Breast - Kate Haywood
Womens 1500 Free - Rebecca Cooke??
3rd:
Mens 50 Breast - James Gibson
Mens 100 Breast - Chris Cook
So based on 2005 world rankings, we would fare significantly better than recent history. Of course performance on the day will count, but I haven't included 2006 swims, where we had some notable performers (and improvements), including the likes of Caitlin McClatchey on the 200, Kirsty Balfour, Terri Dunning, Matt Clay, Liam Tancock on the 100 etc, plus you have someone like James Goddard who wasn't swimming in 2005 but has the potential to medal in say the 200 back. Also I haven't included relays where we traditionally fare quite well and can expect to pick up at least a couple of medals.
Obviously swimmers from other countries will improve and emerge, and I don't think we should EXPECT to win 11 individual medals, but it is quite encouraging. :fingers:
Firstly, I can say that of the last five European chamionships we did attend, an average of 7-8 medals were won, roughly in the ratio of 1 gold : 2 silver : 4 bronze. But looking at the performances our swimmers have produced of late, most notably at the Commonwealth Games, I think we can expect to do a bit better than this!
A quick look at the world rankings for 2005 gives us these placings:
1st:
Mens 1500 Free - David Davies
Womens 800 Free - Rebecca Cooke
Womens 50 Breast - Kate Haywood
2nd:
Mens 100 Free - Simon Burnett
Mens 200 Free - Simon Burnett
Mens 50 Back - Liam Tancock
Womens 200 Free - Mel Marshall
Womens 400 Free - Caitlin McClatchey
Womens 100 Breast - Kate Haywood
Womens 1500 Free - Rebecca Cooke??
3rd:
Mens 50 Breast - James Gibson
Mens 100 Breast - Chris Cook
So based on 2005 world rankings, we would fare significantly better than recent history. Of course performance on the day will count, but I haven't included 2006 swims, where we had some notable performers (and improvements), including the likes of Caitlin McClatchey on the 200, Kirsty Balfour, Terri Dunning, Matt Clay, Liam Tancock on the 100 etc, plus you have someone like James Goddard who wasn't swimming in 2005 but has the potential to medal in say the 200 back. Also I haven't included relays where we traditionally fare quite well and can expect to pick up at least a couple of medals.
Obviously swimmers from other countries will improve and emerge, and I don't think we should EXPECT to win 11 individual medals, but it is quite encouraging. :fingers: