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Old 23-04-2008, 10:56 AM   #1
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Phelps Vs Hoff

Who will win most gold medals in Beijing?

Without looking in detail at the programme they could possibly win the following:

Phelps

100 and 200 Fly
200 and 400 IM
200 FC
4x100 FC Relay
4x100 Medley Relay
4x200 FC Relay
(Unlikely to swim backstroke events?)

Possible 8 golds

Hoff

200, 400 and 800 FC
200 and 400 IM
4x100 FC Relay
4x200 FC Relay

Possible 7 golds

I realise there will be many swimmers who will have something to say about this but what do you think?
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Old 23-04-2008, 11:01 AM   #2
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hmmmm i can see phels swimming the 100 if he breaks the wr in trials!
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Old 23-04-2008, 11:22 AM   #3
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Hoff could also potentially swim the 100fc in the medley relay (she's swum some pretty decent times recently - low 54's i think) if they put Coughlin on the bk. i think Hoff stands a very good chance in all the events listed although i wouldn't say that she's as clear a favourite in any of them as, say, Phelps in the 200 fly/400IM. That said, she may well become a clear favourite if she swims really fast at the US trials (which i suspect she might well do!)
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Old 23-04-2008, 11:29 AM   #4
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I've got a feeling that Ryan Lochte is going to give Phelps a scare in he medley. He may not beat him but he looked mighty impressive at the worlds just gone.
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Old 23-04-2008, 11:37 AM   #5
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I think Phelps is gonna make her his biatch!
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Old 23-04-2008, 11:53 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac View Post
Hoff could also potentially swim the 100fc in the medley relay (she's swum some pretty decent times recently - low 54's i think) if they put Coughlin on the bk. i think Hoff stands a very good chance in all the events listed although i wouldn't say that she's as clear a favourite in any of them as, say, Phelps in the 200 fly/400IM. That said, she may well become a clear favourite if she swims really fast at the US trials (which i suspect she might well do!)
Very true, she is second ranked 100 FC behind Coughlin at the moment in the USA. So could possibly win 9.

I think the USA stand a better chance in the mens relays than in the womens which could be the difference.
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Old 23-04-2008, 05:00 PM   #7
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I thought the US Swimming policy with regard to the medley was that the finals team usually comprised the best performer in each of the individual 100s. I remember the fuss that was made when Phelps beat Crocker in the 100m Fly in Athens and then Crocker swum the fly leg in the relay. I am not sure that Hoff would include the individual 100 Free if she was intending to do the 200, 400 and 800 and both IMs as well!
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Old 23-04-2008, 05:51 PM   #8
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Remember though it was Day 8, I'm sure Phelps was knackered and Crocker was the world record holder and silver medallist on the 100 and beaten by only 0.04. Who knows, maybe Phelps volunteered? Or maybe they just wanted to make Texas look good.

Does anyone know the schedule for Beijing? I would be interested to see it.

As for Phelps vs Hoff, at the moment I would bet on Phelps. He is WR holder in 4 individual events, 2nd all time in the other and USA are WR holders in all three relays. Compare to Hoff, she holds 0 WRs and is ranked 2,2,3,3 and 4 in the events listed above among current swimmers. In the relays USA hold one WR and will face stiff competition from Australia and Netherlands plus maybe GB, France and Germany.
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Old 24-04-2008, 08:13 AM   #9
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I wouldn't be surprised if NBC or whatever TV company that caused morning finals made sure that the programme was laid out to make sure Phelps has the best possible chance of winning 7+ gold medals.

Isn't there 1 event between 200 back and 200 IM final? In which Ryan Lochte will be swimming both, and probably the main man to take on Phelps in the IM.
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Old 24-04-2008, 09:29 AM   #10
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Originally Posted by Bazza View Post
Remember though it was Day 8, I'm sure Phelps was knackered and Crocker was the world record holder and silver medallist on the 100 and beaten by only 0.04. Who knows, maybe Phelps volunteered? Or maybe they just wanted to make Texas look good.

Does anyone know the schedule for Beijing? I would be interested to see it.

As for Phelps vs Hoff, at the moment I would bet on Phelps. He is WR holder in 4 individual events, 2nd all time in the other and USA are WR holders in all three relays. Compare to Hoff, she holds 0 WRs and is ranked 2,2,3,3 and 4 in the events listed above among current swimmers. In the relays USA hold one WR and will face stiff competition from Australia and Netherlands plus maybe GB, France and Germany.
Good analysis. I think Hoff may well have a couple of WR's in the bag following the US Trials and be ranked #1 in a few events but I also agree that Phelps would be the best bet.
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Old 24-04-2008, 09:40 AM   #11
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I reckon that Phelps would beat Hoff head to head in a race any time
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Old 24-04-2008, 10:21 AM   #12
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I remember the fuss that was made when Phelps beat Crocker in the 100m Fly in Athens and then Crocker swum the fly leg in the relay.
What fuss? Phelps earned the swim in the final but volunteered to give it up and let Crocker take his place. It was one of the most unselfish acts in sporting history and speaks volumes of the kind of guy he is.
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Old 24-04-2008, 10:55 AM   #13
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Phelps easy....

Hoff has no where near the dominance that Phelps has in the mens...As mentioned previously,Hoff holds no WR's and the the US Womens relay teams in the 4x100m Free and 4x100 medley relay have been lagging behind for years.

Hoff vs Trickett is a better contest..

Trickett is top ranked in the

50m Free
100m Free
100 Fly
and the Australian relay teams have been undefeated in the 4x100m and 4x100medley for years and based on times at the Aus Trials,they are currently top ranked in all 3 relays

If the Australian relay teams fire,then Trickett will get 6

Hoff....2 at the most.
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Old 24-04-2008, 10:59 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan_tm View Post
Phelps easy....

Hoff has no where near the dominance that Phelps has in the mens...As mentioned previously,Hoff holds no WR's and the the US Womens relay teams in the 4x100m Free and 4x100 medley relay have been lagging behind for years.

Hoff vs Trickett is a better contest..

Trickett is top ranked in the

50m Free
100m Free
100 Fly
and the Australian relay teams have been undefeated in the 4x100m and 4x100medley for years and based on times at the Aus Trials,they are currently top ranked in all 3 relays

If the Australian relay teams fire,then Trickett will get 6

Hoff....2 at the most.
I think that you are overestimating the Australians and Ms Trickett (because they have had their trials) and underestimating the American's and Ms Hoff (because they have not). I believe that Ms Hoff holds no world records because by all accounts we haven't seen her fully prepared to race this year and for one reason or another the world records in her events have come tumbling down. I don't think that it is unreasonable to suspect that she may swim faster than she has swum before in the same way as so many others have when suited and prepared this year.
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Last edited by Linny; 24-04-2008 at 11:21 AM. Reason: Missed out "or another". Wasn't meaning to imply that the world best times this year were ALL down to the suits
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Old 24-04-2008, 11:18 AM   #15
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I think that you are overestimating the Australians and Ms Trickett (because they have had their trials) and underestimating the American's and Ms Hoff (because they have not). I believe that Ms Hoff holds no world records because by all accounts we haven't seen her fully prepared to race this year and for one reason the world records in her events have come tumbling down. I don't think that it is unreasonable to suspect that she may swim faster than she has swum before in the same way as so many others have when suited and prepared this year.
I would concur with Linny's comments. Katie Hoff is currently ranked # 1 in the world on 200 FC despite not racing tapered yet. She also has a shot at 200 and 400 IM WR's as well as 400 and 800 FC world records at the US trials.

Looking forward to seeing her go head to head with Adlington and Ziegler on 800 FC in Beijing.
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